b. Incremental budgeting
Frendzee currently uses this type of budgeting, the starting point of which is usually the previous year’s actual performance or budget. This is then updated for any known changes in costs, or for inflation. The budget would normally remain unchanged for the remainder of the year.
Incremental budgeting is suitable for use in organisations which are stable and not undergoing significant changes. This is the case for Dairy division, which operates in a saturated market and has little opportunity to grow.
Production volumes in Dairy division have only increased by 0.5% over a full five years, so it is a very stable business. Dairy division has stability of both revenues and costs. It has long-term fixed cost and volume supply agreements with its supermarket customers. It also has similar fixed contracts with its suppliers of milk, the most significant raw material ingredient used in its products.
Though the third-party distribution company is able to pass on some increases in fuel costs to Dairy division, these are capped at only 0.5% per year. This is significantly less than the tax increases which will increase Luxury division’s fuel costs after the start of Q3. It appears that Dairy division has relatively little exposure to rising fuel prices.
Furthermore, these increases are agreed prior to the setting of the current year budget, so there is no need to update these costs on an ongoing basis throughout the year.
As the dairy foods market is saturated and stable, there is little opportunity for the division to incur discretionary costs such as research and development of new products.
Incremental budgeting is only suitable for business where costs are already well controlled. This is because a big disadvantage of incremental budgeting is that it perpetuates inefficient activities by often simply building inflation into previous year results or budgets. It appears that Dairy division, having been in existence for a relatively long time, does have good cost control as it has modern production plant and is recognised as having the most efficient production processes in the industry.
Incremental budgeting may, however, build in budget slack. Managers may spend up to their budgeted amounts in one year, so that their budget is not cut the next, which may affect their appraisal and reward in the future. It is unclear whether this is occurring at Dairy division, though for many years (while Dairy division was the only division at Frendzee), the budgets set following consultation with divisional managers have just been achieved. This may be consistent with the stability of the division, but could also indicate that budgets were not set at a challenging enough level, even though Dairy division had the best performance of the two divisions last year.
It is not therefore advisable that rolling budgets are introduced in Dairy division, as the current incremental process appears satisfactory. This is especially so since divisional managers have little experience of setting their own budgets, and the time and cost of using rolling budgets would exceed the value of them to the division.
Rolling budgets
Rolling budgets are continually updated to reflect current conditions and are usually extended by budgeting for an additional period after the current period, for example, a quarter, has elapsed. That way, the budget always reflects the most up to date trading conditions and best estimates of future costs and revenues, usually for the next four quarters.
Rolling budgets are suitable for businesses which change rapidly or where it is difficult to estimate future revenues and costs.
Luxury division was only set up two years ago, and is therefore a relatively new business. It also operates in quite a different sector of the industry to that in which Dairy division operates and where Frendzee has most experience. There is likely to be considerable uncertainty as to future costs and revenues as Frendzee has little direct experience on which to base its forecasts.
Whereas Dairy division operates in a saturated and stable market, Luxury division uses rare ingredients which are subject to variations in availability and cost, for example, as a result of poor harvests. There is no indication that Luxury division has fixed price and volume contracts with its customers or suppliers and is therefore likely to suffer from instability of supply as well as demand resulting from changes in consumer tastes.
The frequent changes in the product range are also likely to make forecasting for a year ahead difficult. The fact that a large proportion of ingredients are imported from Vee land, makes costs susceptible to changes in the C$:V$ exchange rates which can quickly make an annual budget out of date, though managers may use methods such as forward contracts to reduce these movements. If managers are appraised on a budget which is out of date or unrealistic, they are likely to give up trying to achieve the budget, which will negatively affect the performance of Frendzee.
Rolling budgets will provide a more accurate basis on which to appraise managers at Luxury division as they incorporate the best-known estimates of future costs and revenues. It can be seen by the recalculation following Q1 results that Luxury division’s revised budgeted operating profit for the year has increased significantly by 42% (5,660/4,000), most of which is due to exchange rate changes. Where costs and revenues are likely to change during the period, rolling budgets give a much more realistic basis on which to appraise divisional performance and appraise and reward divisional managers. Budgets are likely to be achievable, which will motivate managers to try and achieve them.
Though the regular updating of the budget required in rolling budgeting is costly, time consuming and possibly a distraction for divisional managers, it does seems that rolling budgets are more suitable for Luxury division than the current incremental approach, particularly as being realistic and achievable, they will increase managers’ motivation to achieve the budget and so improve the performance of the business.